A few weeks ago, Michel Fortin posted two predictions for the internet in 2010. The first was that "internet marketing will grow up":

Yes, the indus­try is going through a major shakeup.

(As an exam­ple, our recent major announce­ment explain­ing the dras­tic change in the way we teach Inter­net mar­ket­ing is a reflec­tion, and the result, of this evolution.)

He goes on to predict that the tricks and gimmicks that are the staple of many "guru"s' teachings will become less and less effective, and that internet marketing will be increasingly driven by solid, scientifically developed marketing methods.

One of Ryan Healy's predictions for 2010 is "the death of the internet marketing guru as we know him", largely as a result of the FTC crackdown:

  • No longer are you going to see IM gurus shouting from the rooftops how much they made in a year (or a minute).
  • No longer will you see them using black hat (unethical) techniques to "acquire" a gazillion followers on Twitter.
  • No longer will they "churn and burn" every person who comes in the door.

Between gimmicks becoming less effective and the FTC cracking down on people who falsely claim to have one that still is, expect the ranks of today's gurus to thin.

Actually, it's already happening. Some of the old guard are retiring from teaching because they're tired of it or because they're satisfied with the fortunes they've already amassed. Some have been banned from the business by the FTC, and I'm sure others are leaving voluntarily to avoid having their fortunes liquidated in exchange for forced vacations (aka. "prison").

I say good riddance. How many times have you bought some self-proclaimed guru's how-to guide, only to discover that it's nothing but the story of one lucky promotion that earned him 5 figures in a day. No proof that the "system" is repeatable (it's not). No guidance on how to adapt it to a different market (it can't be). No guidance on what to do if you don't catch the same lucky breaks (sure, you can make your own bad luck by never trying, but making your own good luck usually doesn't happen in one try like they'd have you believe).

Reader Comment:
Isaac said:
I feel that most internet marketers are very dishonest about how you make money on the internet. There is a very small minority that are ethical. I am glad that the FTC is cracking down on them but they need to do more especially with the economy in ...
(join the conversation below)

Once the one-hit-wonder guru has turned his 5-figure day into a 6-figure how-to eBook, there's no stopping him. His future efforts succeed more on the coattails of his past successes than on their own merits, so he sells the blueprints for those promotions too...

But I digress.

If "bootstrap" gurus are an endangered breed, and legitimate gurus are calling it a day, are internet marketing gurus about to fade into history?

Yeah, dumb question. Of course not. We'll still need teachers. The business is just going to grow up.

Michel & Sylvie Fortin's vision for the future guru involves more accountability. At Success Chef, they're building partnerships of a sort with their students, which gives them a big vested interest in their success. I've seen similar efforts flounder before. But if they choose their participants carefully, and can succeed in keeping a group of individuals who are used to being their own bosses motivated and moving forward, it could be a huge success.

I have a different vision. I'm not arguing against the Fortins' ideals, but surely there are still a lot of people who, for any of a million legitimate reasons, don't want to get into partnerships with their teachers and other students. Maybe they already have a business and just want to learn how to market it better. Maybe they can't yet afford the time and money required to join such a partnership. Maybe they prefer independence over making more money through a partnership.

I'm not ready to reveal details yet, but I've got a big project in the works related to internet marketing gurus. No, I'm not going to proclaim myself a guru. But I have some ideas for how to find people who are ready to step into the space being vacated by the old guard. And I have some ideas for how to help students of internet marketing discover people with the knowledge, credibility, and teaching skills they desire.

It's going to be an interesting year.